Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000538 0.000621 0.000710 0.000812 0.000925 0.001046 0.001185
2025-06-15 0.000406 0.000520 0.000651 0.000810 0.000999 0.001213 0.001472
2025-06-22 0.000337 0.000463 0.000615 0.000809 0.001047 0.001327 0.001678
2025-06-29 0.000281 0.000412 0.000578 0.000798 0.001079 0.001419 0.001857
2025-07-06 0.000235 0.000368 0.000542 0.000782 0.001098 0.001491 0.002009
2025-07-13 0.000211 0.000348 0.000535 0.000801 0.001159 0.001614 0.002226
2025-07-20 0.000189 0.000328 0.000525 0.000813 0.001210 0.001725 0.002428
2025-07-27 0.000164 0.000301 0.000502 0.000804 0.001231 0.001795 0.002579
2025-08-03 0.000142 0.000274 0.000476 0.000789 0.001240 0.001849 0.002708
2025-08-10 0.000128 0.000260 0.000468 0.000798 0.001284 0.001949 0.002899
2025-08-17 0.000114 0.000245 0.000456 0.000799 0.001315 0.002031 0.003068
2025-08-24 0.000097 0.000220 0.000427 0.000773 0.001304 0.002054 0.003155
2025-08-31 0.000082 0.000198 0.000400 0.000748 0.001294 0.002079 0.003247
2025-09-07 0.000072 0.000185 0.000388 0.000746 0.001318 0.002152 0.003407
2025-09-14 0.000064 0.000173 0.000377 0.000745 0.001342 0.002225 0.003569
2025-09-21 0.000056 0.000160 0.000362 0.000735 0.001353 0.002278 0.003702
2025-09-28 0.000048 0.000146 0.000345 0.000720 0.001353 0.002316 0.003813
2025-10-05 0.000045 0.000143 0.000346 0.000737 0.001407 0.002433 0.004043
2025-10-12 0.000041 0.000138 0.000344 0.000749 0.001450 0.002537 0.004253
2025-10-19 0.000036 0.000128 0.000332 0.000740 0.001460 0.002589 0.004389
2025-10-26 0.000031 0.000118 0.000316 0.000726 0.001460 0.002624 0.004498
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000113 0.000314 0.000735 0.001498 0.002720 0.004702
2025-11-09 0.000025 0.000108 0.000308 0.000736 0.001523 0.002797 0.004876